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Shell CEO Says MidEast Oil Flows Reach 80% of Prewar Levels

Shell CEO Wael Sawan says Middle East oil flows have reached 80% of prewar levels while warning of ongoing supply risks.

By Muhamed Porić

October 11, 2026 at 11:56 AM

Photo by Bilal Ahmed on Pexels

Middle East oil flows have rebounded to approximately 80% of pre-conflict volumes, though ongoing geopolitical tensions leave global energy markets vulnerable to further supply disruptions, according to Shell Plc Chief Executive Officer Wael Sawan.

Speaking at the Energy Intelligence Forum in London, Sawan noted that current flow levels demonstrate the capability of nations in the region as they work to maintain export commitments to global markets despite heightened security risks, according to a Yahoo Finance report.

"We have maybe softened the worst impacts of the crisis, but there is only so long that you can continue to do that without further discontinuities emerging," said Wael Sawan, Chief Executive Officer, Shell Plc.

Shipping Tracking Challenges in Key Chokepoints

Precise calculations of actual crude transit volumes remain difficult for energy analysts to verify in real time. Tankers and commercial vessels frequently switch off their satellite tracking transponders when navigating through critical maritime chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz and parts of the Red Sea to evade potential threats.

To help buffer against these logistical bottlenecks, the Group of Seven nations enacted a coordinated intervention plan. The G7 announced a strategic release of up to 100 million barrels of crude oil from emergency government reserves to stabilize pricing and offset regional export shortfalls.

Global Energy Security Implications

These emergency measures highlight the persistent fragility underpinning global energy supply chains. While regional producers have restored four-fifths of baseline shipments, industry executives warn that the remaining deficit leaves little margin for error should shipping lanes experience prolonged closures or escalated military engagement.

Energy markets continue to monitor maritime security protocols and inventory draws closely as importing nations assess their exposure to Middle Eastern supply shocks.

ShellOilEnergyMiddle EastWael Sawan
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Muhamed Porić

Founder and Editor of Embers.

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