Colombia Coffee Output Falls 15% to 12.6M Bags on Weather

Colombia's coffee production fell 15% during the 2025/26 crop year as adverse weather and lower yields hit harvests across the country's primary growing regions. The drop marks a retreat from the previous year's stronger output, tightening supplies from one of the world's largest exporters of arabica beans.

Production for the 2025/26 coffee year declined to 12.65 million 60-kilogram bags, dropping from 14.87 million bags recorded during the prior 12-month period, according to data from the National Coffee Federation. The contraction highlights agricultural vulnerabilities to shifting precipitation patterns and regional weather anomalies.

Calendar Year Output and Export Declines

Production figures through the first nine months of calendar year 2026 show continued downward pressure. Coffee output through September fell 10% to 8.95 million bags, compared with 9.97 million bags in the same period of 2025.

Shipments to international buyers experienced a corresponding pullback over the full crop year. Coffee exports decreased 12% to 11.78 million bags. Short-term monthly data offered a partial counterweight, as September exports rose 9% to 1.17 million bags.

Domestic Consumption and Trade Balances

To manage tight domestic supplies and meet local demand, processors utilized supplementary trade channels. Imports reached 1.61 million bags over the 12-month period, while domestic consumption totaled 2.32 million bags annually.

What the Drop Means for Global Markets

As the world's leading producer of washed arabica coffee, supply contractions in Colombia reverberate directly through global commodity markets. The combination of lower local yields, reduced annual exports, and necessary foreign imports underscores the financial risks that unpredictable weather patterns pose to South American agricultural exporters.